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Bears, Texans are favorites among underdog bets

Bears, Texans are favorites among underdog bets

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Bear with me.

Bear with me.
Image: Getty Images

After a Week 1 that noticed bettors nail their underdog choose of the week — Chicago over San Francisco — gamblers are using the recent hand and rolling with Da Bears as soon as once more in Week 2 to take down their “owner” Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. However, this time the Bears aren’t alone, they’ve obtained firm: The Houston Texans.

According to OddsChecker US, over the past week, the Bears and Texans have every acquired two-thirds (66.7 %) of moneyline votes for his or her video games in opposition to the Packers and Broncos, respectively. I can perceive the place bettors are coming from. The Broncos offense didn’t look almost as explosive as we thought it will in Week 1. Russell Wilson seemed downright insufficient at instances in opposition to his former staff as he was principally out-dueled by Geno Smith. That stated, the Broncos have been a pair of goal-line fumbles away from strolling away with the victory. Meanwhile, Davis Mills seemed competent in Houston’s Week 1 tie in opposition to a Colts squad that was imagined to crush Houston beneath the heel of their boots. As for the Bears, regardless of abhorrent climate, Justin Fields seemed like a powerful chief, marching down the sector for 2 second-half landing drives, whereas the Packers seemed as sloppy as a moist slice of bread that had been dropped on the ground and left there for 2 minutes.

While I might usually say that these bets are ridiculous, I can’t assist however cheer the underdog bettors primarily based on what occurred final weekend. Sure, Rodgers at all times sucks in Week 1, however who’s to say he gained’t be dangerous two weeks in a row with out Davante Adams? The Bears have finished it earlier than in any case. The final time they managed to win a recreation as double-digit underdogs was 2013, a Week 9 in opposition to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. But Rodgers obtained damage late within the first half of that recreation and needed to be changed by Seneca Wallace. They say historical past repeats itself, and by golly, there’s lots of historical past lining up for this matchup with Green Bay.

What bugs me most about these bets isn’t even something matchup-related or stats-related. It’s tendencies. There’s a saying in sports activities that just about states, “the best time for a huge loss is right after an emotional win.” Both the Bears and Texans are coming off massively emotional victories (a tie isn’t a win, however the truth that Houston compelled a tie in opposition to a divisional opponent is a giant second in and of itself), and thus are due for big letdowns in Week 2. The reverse of that idiom can also be true. The greatest time for a giant win is correct after a humiliating defeat. I don’t suppose any two groups have been extra embarrassed with their Week 1 performances than the Packers and Broncos. Wilson misplaced to his former staff in entrance of his former followers with a far superior supporting solid. A-A-Ron performed a divisional foe and obtained laughed out of Minnesota together with his tail tucked between his legs. Both quarterbacks are going to be out for blood in Week 2.

Furthermore, each Wilson and Rodgers have been on the street in Week 1, however shall be at house in Week 2. Over their careers, each quarterbacks have been significantly better at house than on the street. You may argue that Wilson was type of “at home” in Week 1, however even I’d contemplate {that a} stretch. I might by no means advise anybody to outright guess in favor of a double-digit underdog on the street, however given the doubtless big payout each groups would offer, I gained’t blame anybody for making an attempt to chase that payday. That stated, each the Packers and Broncos ought to stroll away with relatively simple victories. If they don’t, it’s time to start out getting frightened about each squads.



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