Super Bowl 2025 odds: 49ers are early favorites; Chiefs, Ravens and Bills among top teams

The Chiefs beat the 49ers in extra time to win Super Bowl LVIII. 

Is it too early to start out looking forward to Super Bowl LVIX held in New Orleans? Never. The San Francisco 49ers are Super Bowl favorites at +500 on BetMGM, regardless of shedding to the Kansas City Chiefs (+700 to repeat) in Super Bowl 58. The Baltimore Ravens (+850), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Detroit Lions (+1200) have the next-best odds.

Of course, the Chiefs are nonetheless one of many favorites to win the AFC. It’s assumed that basic supervisor Brett Veach will do all the things in his energy to search out assist for Patrick Mahomes after the offense’s struggles for a lot of the common season.

Along with the Chiefs, the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are the favorites from the AFC. The Jets have worse odds now (+3000) than they did at the moment final season (+2500), and that was even earlier than they’d acquired Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, although rumors have been already swirling that Rodgers needed out of Wisconsin and into the Big Apple.

Of the teams with new head coaches, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) have the very best odds with new coach Jim Harbaugh. Los Angeles is $45 million over the wage cap for subsequent season, in accordance with OverTheCap.com.

If you’re searching for teams that may make a splash in free company, the Commanders, Titans, Patriots, Bengals and Colts have probably the most wage cap room proper now.

Detroit (+1200) has accomplished its 180 flip from lovable losers to now a favourite within the NFC. Dallas and Philadelphia are nonetheless close to the top of their respective conferences, however there shall be modifications for each teams this offseason. Dallas misplaced defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Washington and Philadelphia employed Kellen Moore to be its new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio to steer its protection.

The Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots all have the worst odds of profitable the Super Bowl. All three teams can have new coaches subsequent yr.

Putting bets on favorites this far out most likely isn’t betting technique, although. Consider that the Chiefs had worse odds coming into this yr’s playoffs (+1000) than they did after final yr’s Super Bowl win (+600).

To assist perceive the place these teams is likely to be going this offseason, particularly round expectations, we checked in with our beat writers to gauge how they view the teams going into the offseason.

GO DEEPER

Super Bowl 2025 odds: Texans, Eagles and Falcons have greatest swings from final preseason

Detroit Lions +1200

The Lions have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in 2024, and that feels nearly proper. In their first postseason run collectively, with the fifth-youngest roster within the NFL, the Lions reached the NFC Championship sport and held a 24-7 lead. Had they made the mandatory performs to win the sport, it could’ve been them in Las Vegas hoping to hoist the Lombardi. Instead, they’ll use a disappointing loss as motivation and work to get there subsequent season. Detroit’s finest expertise — Penei Sewell, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs, and many others. — ought to solely get higher with age. QB Jared Goff has now taken two teams to NFC Championship video games and is coming off one other robust season. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is again for an additional yr, turning down head teaching alternatives but once more. And the Lions will look to enhance a secondary that wants an inflow of expertise. Detroit’s schedule and division look more durable on paper, however contemplating all of the Lions have going for them, they’re well-positioned for an additional deep postseason run.  —Colton Pouncy, Lions author

New York Jets +3000

The Jets, as a lot as any staff on this record, have the power to swing wildly in both route. That’s the Aaron Rodgers issue. The Jets have a number of holes to fill on offense (offensive line, vast receiver) and issues to beat (offensive coordinator) however in the end how far the Jets go (or not) relies upon largely on what model of Rodgers they get. He will flip 41 this season and is coming off Achilles surgical procedure, so it’s honest to be skeptical that the Jets will make noise — however they nonetheless have among the best NFL defenses, which is able to principally stay intact, and carry again two stars on offense in Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. —Zack Rosenblatt, Jets author

Green Bay Packers +2500

I’m shocked the Packers’ odds are that lengthy, contemplating how they completed the 2023 season. After beginning 3-6, they made the playoffs, dismantled the Cowboys within the wild-card spherical, and gave the 49ers a combat within the Divisional Round. In his first season because the full-time beginning quarterback, Jordan Love confirmed why he will be the man for Green Bay for the subsequent decade-plus, and most of his supporting solid, on an offense that flourished within the second half of the season, will return in 2024. The huge questions are within the different two phases. Can the Packers straighten out their kicking sport (pun supposed), and can new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley maximize the expertise on his facet of the ball in a manner Joe Barry couldn’t? If Green Bay can do each, there’s no motive the Packers can’t be in competition to carry the Lombardi Trophy again house. —Matt Schneidman, Packers author

To take the Dolphins as severe Super Bowl contenders, they need to beat teams on the identical degree as them or higher on a semi-consistent foundation. That didn’t occur in 2023, with just one win in opposition to a staff that completed with a profitable document — Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. The 2024 schedule shall be more durable, too, taking part in the AFC South, NFC West and the Packers exterior of Miami’s AFC East opponents.

Tua Tagovailoa, as of now, will enter the ultimate yr of his rookie contract in 2024. Will Miami maintain its quarterback earlier than Week 1? Plus, it’s important to marvel if the protection can come collectively after quite a few accidents, particularly at edge rusher, which took a toll late within the 2023 marketing campaign. Then it’s important to marvel if the Dolphins are the very best and even second-best staff within the AFC East with the Bills because the reigning champs and Aaron Rodgers set to take greater than a handful of snaps at QB like final yr’s injury-plagued season. —Larry Holder, NFL senior author

You know the Texans shall be one of many sexiest bets heading into the 2024 season — two of the top younger gamers at premium positions with quarterback C.J. Stroud and edge rusher Will Anderson. Throw in budding star coach DeMeco Ryans and an enhancing roster, and Houston has all of the makings of the staff able to take the subsequent step.

Now, the Texans received’t be going through a bottom-barrel schedule this season after profitable the AFC South. So they’ll get the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills, together with the AFC East and NFC North becoming a member of their AFC South slate — throw a wholesome NFL Draft compadre, Anthony Richardson, again for the Colts. But the Texans appeared to face tall in opposition to all comers through the 2023 common season earlier than falling flat in opposition to the Ravens within the AFC divisional spherical. I count on the Texans to enhance in 2024 and for Stroud solely to get higher after one of many strongest rookie QB campaigns in latest reminiscence. If that occurs, you by no means know … —Holder

(Top picture: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)