MONDAY AM UPDATE: Sunday got here in stronger for Avatar: The Way of Water than Disney anticipated, grossing an important $24.4M to what was regarded as $21M. That’s the third greatest New Year’s Day haul of all-time after The Force Awakens ($34.3M) and James Cameron’s first Avatar ($25.2M). Avatar 2‘s New Year’s Day was even greater than that of Spider-Man: No Way Home ($23.1M) final 12 months.
The third weekend of the James Cameron title rises to $66.8M, +6% from its Christmas weekend, with a 4-day of $86.3M. By the tip of at the moment, it’s anticipated that Avatar 2 will go the $440.9M 18-day whole of Rogue One with $444.4M. Why is that such a giant deal? Because that 2016 Star Wars prequel has been used because the comp for this mega-tentpole, which was slower out of the gate than monitoring initially forecasted. 2016 was the final time that Christmas fell on a Sunday, and New Year’s Day 2017 too.
Avatar 2‘s $24.4M Sunday also bests Rogue One‘s New Year’s Day gross of $16.7M.
SUNDAY AM, NEW YEAR’S DAY: While New Year’s Eve is often a greater moviegoing day than Christmas Eve, enterprise was nonetheless down yesterday at -27% from Friday for all motion pictures. That’s an identical decline to final weekend’s Friday-to-Christmas Eve (-26%). However, New Year’s Eve made greater than Christmas Eve, $27.9M to $22.2M. Moviegoing is predicted to be +19% on New Year’s Day at the moment, and there might be an additional cushion in Monday, Jan. 2, as many usually have off in honor of the Sunday vacation. Per our sources, climate wasn’t a problem this weekend.
Disney/twentieth/Lightstorm’s Avatar: The Way of Water did $18M yesterday, taking its operating whole to $400M. Revised 3-day is $63.4M (+2% from final weekend, nice), and 4-day is $82.4M, for a brand new home cume by EOD Monday of $440.5M. If these Disney estimates stick, Avatar 2 might be $400K shy of Rogue One‘s running total through its first 18 days. It took Rogue One another two weeks before it crossed the half billion mark stateside, the pic’s remaining whole being $532.1M.
Through finish of Sunday, Disney is reporting a $1.37 billion operating international whole for Avatar 2. Also by Monday, the 3D spectacle will go the operating home field workplace of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ($439.6M). By hitting $400M yesterday, Avatar 2 formally turns into the third Disney title to cross that threshold after Black Panther 2 and Doctor Strange 2 for 2022.
Rivals received excited and over-forecasted Avatar 2 for the 3-day and 4-day stretch, believing Saturday could be a $19.6M-$19.8M day. Again, at the moment and Monday might put the James Cameron-directed, Jon Landau-produced sequel again on target to wild cash.
Imax auditoriums added $8.4M to this weekend’s gross, -6% from final weekend, and repping 13.2% of 3-day ticket gross sales. Imax has racked up $55.3M from Avatar 2 up to now in North America.
Sony’s A Man Called Otto at 4 NYC and LA websites is taking a look at $60K for the 3-day ($15K theater common) and a 4-day of $75K.
The second weekend of United Artists Releasing’s Women Talking at 8 websites did $42K, +3%, with a 4-day of $53K and operating whole of $159K. Next weekend, the Sarah Polley-directed drama goes to 30 runs in ten markets, with one other growth on Jan. 13. The pic is 89% licensed contemporary with critics on Rotten Tomatoes, with an 88% viewers rating. Polley’s screenplay and composer Hildur Guðnadóttir’s rating are up for Golden Globes on Tuesday, Jan. 10.
The remainder of the weekend is as follows:
1) Avatar: The Way of Water (Dis/twentieth) 4,202 theaters, Fri $24.4M (+27%), Sat $18M Sun $21M Mon $18.95M 3-day $63.4M (+2%)/4-day $82.4M/Total: $440.5M/ Wk 3
2) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,121 (+22) theaters, Fri $6.5M (+70%) Sat $4.66M Sun $5.1M Mon $5.4M 3-day $16.3M (+31%), 4-day $21.7M/Total $66.1M/Wk 2
3) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Dis) 2,310 (+60) theaters, Fri $1.82M (+82%) Sat $1.3M Sun $1.7M Mon $1.67M 3 day $4.83M (+38%)/4-day $6.5M/Total $439.6M/Wk 8
4) I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Sony) 3,625 theaters, Fri $1.46M (-27%) Sat $1.22M Sun $1.59M Mon $1.15M 3-day $4.25M (-11%) 4-day $5.4M/Total $16MWk 2
5) Babylon (Par) 3,351 (+8) theaters Fri $935K (-36%) Sat $730K Sun $1.06M Mon $900K 3-day $2.7M (-24%) 4-day $3.6M/Total $11M/Wk 2
6) Violent Night (Uni) 2,563 (+1) Fri $820K Sat $560K Sun $750K Mon $540K 3-day $2.1M (-39%) 4-day $2.67M Total $48M/Wk 5
7) The Whale (A24) 623 (+20) theaters, Fri $491,5K (+64%), Sat $372,9K Sun $466,1K Mon $419,5K 3-day $1.33M (+28%) 4-day $1.75M Total $6.2M/Wk 4
8) Fabelmans (Uni/Amb) 1,149 (+27) theaters, Fri $320K (+157%) Sat $400K Sun $420K Mon $360K 3 day $1.14M (+53%), 4-day $1.5M Total $12.5M/Wk 8
9)The Menu (Sea) 860 (+20) theaters, Fri $386K (+121%) Sat $279K Sun $405K Mon $330K 3-day $1.07M (+58%) 4-Day $1.4M Total $36.4M/Wk 7
10.) Strange World (Dis) 1,240 (-150) theaters, Fri $201K (+39%) Sat $157K Sun $180K Mon $209K 3-day $538K (+30%), 4-day $747K, Total $37.2M/Wk 6
SATURDAY AM: Avatar: The Way of Water is trying unbelievable in its third weekend after Friday beat its personal night estimates with $24.4M, +27% from every week in the past. That places the James Cameron film on a run for a $67.8M 3-day weekend, +7% from final weekend’s Christmas interval, and a possible 4-day between $87M-$92M per trade estimates.
On the excessive finish of that vary, Avatar 2 might see a 4% dip from its Dec. 23-26 take of $95.6M. In that vary, Avatar 2 by Monday would outstrip the 18-day operating whole of its comp, 2016’s Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, which had $440.9M by that time limit with a complete between $450M-$446M. By Monday, Avatar 2 additionally might finest the operating whole of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, that pic rising its whole to $440M. One conservative estimate has Avatar 2‘s third sesh at $77M over 4 days, which might get it to $435.1M, and see it 1% behind Rogue One by EOD Monday.
Avatar 2 is ringing in a wholesome New Year for exhibition with a complete total home weekend market of $104.2M, which is 5% larger than New Year’s weekend 2022, when Spider-Man: No Way Home led all titles to $98.9M.
RELATED: ‘Avatar: The Way Of Water’ Tops $810M Overseas On Way To $1.3B+ Global Through Sunday
Together with a Black Panther: Wakanda Forever‘s eighth Friday of $1.8M, Disney, together with all the cash from its Searchlight and twentieth Century Studios titles, rises to $1.96 billion on the 2022 home field workplace. You can learn extra about our look again on the field workplace 12 months right here.
Even although we might see a 2023 field workplace 12 months of $9 billion, +22%, and regardless of the success of Avatar 2 right here, Wall Street has been exhausting on the No. 1 film circuit AMC, with the exhibitor ending 2022 with a share value of $4.07, down by greater than 80% from its $34.30 annual excessive. That comes within the wake of AMC planning a reverse inventory cut up and $110M sale of its premium APE fairness. It’s clear the road is assessing the exhibitor from its debt and revenue standpoints, and never the longer term rebound of the trade. They ought to know that AMC dominated the 2022 home market because the No. 1 theater chain with greater than $1.7 billion (23% marketshare) per trade calculations, forward of No. 2 Regal, which did $1.2 billion (16.4% marketshare). The AMC Burbank would be the highest-grossing theater with round $18M in field workplace for the 12 months, adopted by AMC Empire at No. 2 theater within the U.S. with $14.5M.
RELATED: 2023 Domestic Box Office To Hit $9 Billion Fueled By 33 Tentpoles, But How Does Hollywood Prevent Original Adult Pics From Falling Into Further Jeopardy?
Los Angeles was the highest marketplace for moviegoing in 2022, grossing $571M+ (8% whole market share), with New York coming in at No. 2 with $446M+ in ticket gross sales (6.3% whole market share). Dallas was a standout marketplace for the 12 months — and through the whole pandemic — rating third for the 12 months with $226M in field workplace (3.2% whole market share).
Universal/Dreamworks Animation’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish stays the runner-up on the vacation field workplace with a $6.46M Friday, +70% from every week in the past, $15.95M 3-day, +28%, a 4-day $21.1M and a operating whole of $65.5M.
Sony’s restricted launch of the Tom Hanks drama A Man Called Otto, performed 4 unique runs together with AMC Century City and The Grove in LA and AMC Lincoln Square and Regal Union Square in NYC for a $23K Friday, and what appears to be like to be a 3-day of $55K and 4-day of $70K. The 3-day theater common appears to be like to be $13,750.
The remainder of the field workplace is as follows for December 30, 2022-January 2, 2023:
1) Avatar: The Way of Water (Dis/twentieth) 4,202 theaters, Fri $24.4M (+27%), 3-day $67.8M (+7%)/4-day $87M-$92M/Total: $450M-$446M/ Wk 3
2) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,121 (+22) theaters, Fri $6.46M (+70%) 3-day $15.95M (+28%), 4-day $21.1M/Total $65.5M/Wk 2
3) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Dis) 2,310 (+60) theaters, Fri $1.82M (+82%) 3 day $5M (+43%)/4-day $6.7M/Total $439.8M/Wk 8
4) I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Sony) 3,625 theaters, Fri $1.46M (-27%) 3-day $4.1M (-13%) 4-day $5.2M/Total $15.8MWk 2
5) Babylon (Par) 3,351 (+8) theaters Fri $935K (-36%) 3-day $3M (-17%) 4-day $4M/Total $11.4M/Wk 2
6) Violent Night (Uni) 2,563 (+1) Fri $810K (-15%) 3-day $2.1M (-39%) 4-day $2.67M Total $48M/Wk 5
7) The Whale (A24) 623 (+20) theaters, Fri $491,5K (+64%), 3-day $1.5M 4-day $2M Total $6.4M/Wk 4
8)The Menu (Sea) 860 (+20) theaters, Fri $386K (+121%) 3-day $1.03M (+47%) 4-Day $1.3M Total $36.3M/Wk 7
9) Fabelmans (Uni/Amb) 1,149 (+27) theaters, Fri $320K (+157%) 3 day $980K (+31%), 4-day $1.27M Total $12.3M/Wk 8
10.) Strange World (Dis) 1,240 (-150) theaters, Fri $201K (+39%) 3-day $504K (+17%), 4-day $700K, Total $37.2M/Wk 6
FRIDAY PM UPDATE: Avatar The Way of Water‘s 3rd Friday is on its way to $22M+, which is up 15% from its second Friday of $19.2M a week ago and will put the sequel’s 15-day whole at round $380M. Today’s gross can be greater than Rogue One‘s third Friday of $18.2M. This appears to be like to be shaping up for a 3rd 3-day weekend of $57M, -10%, and 4-day of $75M, perhaps even a bit extra at 4,202 theaters. By EOD Monday, Jan. 2, the twentieth Century Studios/Disney/Lightstorm film hopes to face at $433.1M stateside.
Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish is eyeing a second Friday of $5.3M, +39% from every week in the past, for a 3-day of $13.3M (+7%), 4-day of $17.7M at 4,121 theaters, and a operating whole by means of 13 days of $62.1M, -33% behind Sing 2 versus the identical time limit.
Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther: Wakanda Forever in its eighth Friday is seeing round $1.6M, a 3-day of $4.7M (+33%), 4-day of $6.4M and operating whole in its eighth weekend of $439.3M. The sequel is in play at 2,310 theaters.
Sony/Compelling Pictures/Black Label Media’s I Wanna Dance With Somebody is seeing a second Friday of $1.3M, -35%, and a second weekend of $3.7M, -22% and 4-day of $4.9M for an 11-day whole of $15.4M. The Whitney Houston biopic is booked at 3,625 theaters.
Paramount/C2’s Babylon at 3,351 theaters is seeing $850K at the moment, $2.9M for its second weekend, -19%, and a 4-day of $3.3M elevating its 11-day whole $10.7M. The film will quickly surpass the lifetime home whole of Guillermo del Toro’s Nightmare Alley, a darkish, R-rated excessive forehead grownup title from final Christmas which finaled at $11.3M. Nightmare Alley was nominated for 4 Oscars together with Best Picture.
PREVIOUS FRIDAY AM: It was one other $20M day for James Cameron’s Avatar: The Way of Water, so huge that it was the largest common field workplace Thursday of the 12 months forward of the sequel’s Dec. 22 take of $14.6M and Top Gun: Maverick‘s June 2 gross. The movie’s operating whole is $358M stateside with a 3-day anticipated to be round $50M and can cross the $400M threshold on New Year’s Day per field workplace sources. New Year’s Eve Saturday isn’t anticipated to be as depressed as Christmas Eve was every week in the past.
To date, the Disney/twentieth Century Studios/Lightstorm film has the next every day 2022 data: prime and second grossing Thursday, the 2nd and third highest Mondays of the 12 months, the first and 2nd highest Tuesdays, and 1st and third highest Wednesday.
Total Thursday international was $67.9M. Overseas B.O. whole cume is $810.6M –surpassing Top Gun: Maverick‘s $770M to turn out to be the No. 1 worldwide launch of 2022 and No. 2 MPA title overseas within the pandemic period. Ongoing worldwide whole for Avatar 2 is $1.168 billion.
We hear Comscore is down this AM, stopping others from reporting numbers. Disney didn’t have any issues, clearly.
We’ll have extra updates for you as they arrive.
Discussion about this post